Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.017556 2.201438 2.397645 2.623104 2.875658 3.150569 3.473432
2026-01-18 1.772104 2.027215 2.316075 2.669387 3.092607 3.586707 4.212239
2026-01-25 1.593737 1.886763 2.233310 2.677485 3.237597 3.928461 4.857683
2026-02-01 1.431848 1.740055 2.116969 2.618079 3.276370 4.125354 5.326036
2026-02-08 1.312359 1.630177 2.029970 2.578382 3.324804 4.325988 5.807126
2026-02-15 1.222502 1.548061 1.967930 2.560202 3.392596 4.550051 6.335878
2026-02-22 1.173836 1.514283 1.964095 2.616231 3.562392 4.926580 7.123786
2026-03-01 1.106899 1.450139 1.912895 2.599487 3.623053 5.145763 7.692525
2026-03-08 1.040674 1.381955 1.850332 2.559682 3.643239 5.301598 8.173086
2026-03-15 0.966905 1.298447 1.760227 2.471701 3.581039 5.320379 8.423452
2026-03-22 0.930071 1.264850 1.738998 2.483970 3.673267 5.591000 9.134602
2026-03-29 0.905240 1.246746 1.738619 2.526919 3.816099 5.955975 10.058141
2026-04-05 0.878512 1.225026 1.732435 2.561788 3.951222 6.326051 11.053600
2026-04-12 0.851404 1.201160 1.721382 2.587746 4.073196 6.685326 12.081914
2026-04-19 0.821195 1.170816 1.698254 2.591774 4.156785 6.982477 13.028067
2026-04-26 0.779229 1.120260 1.640539 2.534000 4.125874 7.062123 13.526681
2026-05-03 0.744793 1.079668 1.596313 2.495744 4.126184 7.199770 14.169306
2026-05-10 0.717250 1.048542 1.565532 2.478260 4.162555 7.410366 15.007060
2026-05-17 0.706130 1.042807 1.575489 2.532048 4.336100 7.913378 16.611624
2026-05-24 0.681917 1.014884 1.547291 2.515972 4.374052 8.139987 17.583303
2026-05-31 0.655026 0.981456 1.508239 2.477754 4.365354 8.266165 18.321741
2026-06-07 0.621203 0.935382 1.445831 2.393260 4.258304 8.168642 18.460184
2026-06-14 0.606648 0.920504 1.435828 2.405044 4.346362 8.510933 19.841753